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Alaaeldin Soultan

I'm a postdoc interested in quantitative methods for modelling biodiversity, macro-ecology, and conservation. I'm currently studying the response of breeding bird species to the anticipated changes in climate conditions and land-use pattern.


Climate change can be considered among the major risk factors that might lead to the complete extinction of bird species. Together with other factors such as land-use change and demographic effects, climate change is shown to be a risk factor especially for cold-dwelling species. Digitized species occurrence data provide an unprecedented source of information for ecologists and conservationists. In my research, I'm combining multivariate statistical approaches with spatial analyses to utilise these occurrence data for understanding the spatial and temporal distribution of breeding bird species and invitigate how the projected change in climate conditions could influence birds breeding and wintering in Europe. 



Selected publications

Soultan, A, Wikelski, M., & Safi, K. (2019). Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region. Scientific Reports, 2019 91 9: 955.

Soultan, A. & Safi, K. (2017). The interplay of various sources of noise on reliability of species distribution models hinges on ecological specialisation. PLOS ONE, 12(11): e0187906

Ellis-Soto, D., Blake, S., Soultan, A., Guézou, A., Cabrera, F., & Lötters, S. (2017). Plant species dispersed by Galapagos tortoises surf the wave of habitat suitability under anthropogenic climate change. PLOS ONE, 12(7), e0181333.3

Gecchele, L., [...], Soultan, A., Davison, A. & Durrant, K. (2017) A pilot study to survey the carnivore community in the hyper-arid environment of South Sinai Mountains. Journal of Arid Environments. 141:16-24.

Durant, S. M., [...] Soultan, A., [...] & Young-Overton, K. (2017). The global decline of cheetah Acinonyx jubatus and what it means for conservation. - Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 114: 528–533. 

Soultan, A., et. al., (2016). Recent observation for leopard Panthera pardus in Egypt. mammalia, 80 (1), 1-3.

Arcilla, N., Soultan, A., Zalat, S. (2015). Advanced Autumn Stopover Dates of Palearctic Passage Migrants in South Sinai, Egypt. Ornithology & Avian Biology International Journal,1(iv),1:4.

Durant, S. M., [...] Soultan, A., [...] &  Pettorelli, N. (2014). Fiddling in biodiversity hotspots while deserts burn? Collapse of the Sahara’s megafauna. Diversity and Distributions, 21,114–122.

Durant, S. M., [...] Soultan, A., [...] & Baillie, J. E. M. (2012). Forgotten Biodiversity in Desert Ecosystems. Science, 336(6087), 1379-1380.

IUCN/SSC (2012) Regional Conservation Strategy for Cheetah and African Wild Dog in Western Central and Northern Africa. IUCN Species Survival Commission, Gland, Switzerland.

El Alqamy, H., Soultan, A.,  [...] & Kamel, M. (2010) Predicting the status and distribution of the Nubian Ibex (Capra nubiana) in the high-altitude Mountains of South Sinai (Egypt). Galemys, 22 (nº especial), 517-530.

Gilbert F, Rashad S, Kamel M, Soultan, A., James M & Zalat S, 2010. Monitoring of the endemic Sinai Baton Blue butterfly Pseudophilotes sinaicus in the St Katherine Protectorate, South Sinai. Egyptian Journal of Biology, 12, 18-26.

White MLJ, Soultan, A., Dauphiné NS, Gilbert F, Zalat S & Gilbert H, 2008. Recent surveys of resident breeding birds in the St Katherine Protectorate, south Sinai, Egypt. Sandgrouse, 30, 190-200.